Empirical <i>α</i>–<i>β</i> runout modelling of snow avalanches in the Catalan Pyrenees

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract A variation in the α − β model which is a regression that allows deterministic prediction of extreme runout to be expected given path, was applied for calculating avalanche Catalan Pyrenees. Present knowledge major activity this region and current mapping tools were used. The derived using dataset 97 ‘extreme’ avalanches occurred from end 19th century beginning 21st century. multiple linear obtained three independent variables: inclination horizontal length area starting zone, with good fit function ( R 2 = 0.81). larger zone increases path reduces runout. new updated equation predicts return period ~100 years. To study terrain variables explain values dataset, comparative analysis influence longer or shorter performed. most treated. size aspect showed certain association between runouts.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Glaciology

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0022-1430', '1727-5652']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2021.50